Rethinking Market Structure: 24/7 Trading, Tokenization, and the Future of Liquidity
- The expansion to 24/7 trading and tokenized assets risks fragmenting liquidity pools, as extended-hours sessions consistently show wider spreads, thinner depth, and price formation driven by a limited set of participants rather than broad market consensus.
- Tokenization's most transformative impact lies not in trading but in post-trade infrastructure—enabling atomic settlement, improved collateral mobility, and capital efficiency—though scaling requires solving interoperability, legal clarity, and regulatory harmonization challenges.
- The industry is converging toward hybrid TradFi-DeFi models that combine the resilience and trust of traditional finance with the efficiency of digital infrastructure, rather than pursuing a binary replacement of one by the other.
- Continuous markets demand synchronized upgrades across front, middle, and back office functions—including real-time margining, automated portfolio monitoring, and 24/7 surveillance—without which extended trading introduces more systemic risk than benefit.
- Liquidity, not technology, will ultimately determine the success of these structural shifts, as current overnight volumes remain marginal and even 24/7 crypto markets exhibit significant liquidity variation by time and venue.
At the recent FOW conference, one message came through clearly:
market structure is entering a new phase of transformation.
Two topics dominated the discussion 24/7 trading and tokenization of assets and while both are often framed as inevitable, the reality is more nuanced. What’s emerging is not a simple extension of existing markets, but a deeper redesign of how liquidity is created, accessed, and managed.
Below are the key takeaways shaping the conversation.
1. Access vs. Market Quality
The case for continuous trading is compelling on the surface.
Global investors operate across time zones. Retail participation is rising. Risk events occur outside traditional market hours. From this perspective, limiting trading to fixed windows increasingly feels outdated.
However, the debate highlighted a critical distinction:
Access does not equal liquidity and liquidity does not guarantee quality.
Evidence from existing extended-hours trading shows:
- Activity remains highly concentrated in core hours
- Overnight sessions often exhibit wider spreads and thinner depth
- Price formation can become less efficient and more volatile
The risk is that extending trading hours without sufficient participation leads to fragmented liquidity pools, where pricing is driven by a limited set of actors rather than a broad market consensus.
2. Fragmentation: The structural risk
Fragmentation emerged as a recurring concern across both discussions whether in extended-hours trading or tokenized markets.
In traditional equity markets, liquidity is already distributed across multiple venues. Introducing:
- overnight sessions,
- alternative trading systems,
- tokenized versions of assets,
can further dilute depth unless carefully managed.
The result can be:
- Reduced transparency
- Increased reliance on market makers
- Greater exposure to price dislocations
- Higher execution costs for end investors
This raises a fundamental question:
Are we improving access to markets or weakening the integrity of price discovery?
3. Tokenization: A Post-Trade revolution
While much attention is placed on tokenized trading, the more transformative impact lies in post-trade infrastructure.
Tokenization has the potential to fundamentally reshape:
- Collateral mobility
- Settlement speed
- Asset accessibility
- Capital efficiency
Concepts such as atomic settlement where cash and assets exchange simultaneously could significantly reduce counterparty risk and free up capital currently tied up in settlement cycles.
However, scaling this model requires solving several non-trivial challenges:
- Interoperability across platforms and blockchains
- Legal clarity around ownership and settlement finality
- Integration with clearing houses and custodians
- Regulatory harmonization across jurisdictions
In practice, the likely outcome is not disruption, but gradual integration into existing frameworks.
4. The convergence of TradFi and DeFi
Rather than a binary shift from traditional finance to decentralized finance, the industry is moving toward hybrid models.
Traditional financial institutions are increasingly:
- engaging with digital assets,
- adopting tokenization initiatives,
- leveraging blockchain for settlement and collateral,
- exploring stablecoins and programmable money.
At the same time, crypto-native markets are maturing:
- Institutional participation is rising
- Derivatives markets are becoming more sophisticated
- Infrastructure is improving around custody, reporting, and risk
The convergence is not about replacement it is about enhancement.
The future market structure will likely combine the resilience and trust of TradFi with the efficiency and flexibility of digital infrastructure.
5. Continuous markets require continuous infrastructure
One of the most important insights from the discussion is that 24/7 trading is not just a trading problem.
It has system-wide implications:
Front Office
- Pricing models must adapt to lower-liquidity environments
- Risk management becomes continuous rather than session-based
Middle Office
- Margining and collateral calls may need to operate in real time
- Portfolio monitoring must be automated and always-on
Back Office
- Settlement cycles need to align with continuous trading
- Payment rails must support real-time transfers
Compliance & Regulation
- Surveillance and controls must operate 24/7
- Investor protection frameworks must evolve accordingly
Without synchronized development across these layers, continuous markets introduce more risk than benefit.
6. Liquidity will define the outcome
A consistent theme across both panels was that liquidity not technology will determine success.
Key observations:
- Current overnight trading volumes remain marginal (often <1% of total turnover)
- Institutional participation is still concentrated in core hours
- Retail demand is growing, but may not provide sufficient depth alone
Even in crypto markets which already operate 24/7 liquidity varies significantly by time and venue, reinforcing the importance of participation over availability.
Final Thoughts: Evolution, not revolution
The direction of travel is clear:
- Markets are becoming more global
- Infrastructure is becoming more digital
- Access is becoming more continuous
But the transition will not be linear.
The industry faces a delicate balancing act:
- Innovation vs. stability
- Access vs. investor protection
- Efficiency vs. resilience
The most successful market structures will not simply extend trading hours or tokenize assets they will rethink how liquidity is aggregated, protected, and distributed.
What this means for the industry
At Horizon Trading Solutions, we view these developments as part of a broader structural shift rather than isolated trends.
As markets evolve, the focus must remain on:
- preserving market quality,
- ensuring robust risk management,
- and building infrastructure that scales with complexity.
Because ultimately, the question is not whether markets become 24/7 or tokenized.
It is whether they remain efficient, resilient, and trusted as they do.
Frequently Asked Questions
Nearly three-quarters of institutional traders have adjusted their execution strategies in response to growing retail activity. Adaptations include smarter order routing to interact with retail liquidity, monitoring retail sentiment as a market signal, and fragmenting large orders across multiple venues to engage with smaller retail trades.
According to a Horizon Trading Solutions survey of 150 institutional traders, nearly two-thirds report that retail flow now touches more than 40% of their trading activity, either directly or indirectly. Retail investors represent approximately 20–35% of overall trading activity in the United States.
85% of institutional traders say retail flow has a positive impact on markets because retail investors often represent natural liquidity as genuine risk holders with directional positions. This type of liquidity can help absorb institutional orders, support price discovery, and create opportunities for better execution quality.
The 2021 GameStop episode demonstrated that retail investors could mobilize rapidly through online communities, drive large volumes of coordinated trading, and make institutional short positions vulnerable to retail momentum. It served as a turning point that prompted institutions to recognize retail traders as an active force capable of influencing liquidity and volatility.
Retail participation is driving several structural changes including extended trading hours, fractional investing capabilities, and the emergence of new investment products such as prediction markets. These trends are pushing exchanges and brokers to adapt their infrastructure while creating both opportunities and operational challenges for institutional participants.
Institutional execution platforms must be able to handle increased retail-driven volatility, integrate new sources of market data and sentiment signals, manage fragmented liquidity across multiple venues and asset classes, and automate execution strategies in increasingly continuous markets. Institutions that effectively build these capabilities will be better positioned to benefit from retail-driven liquidity.